Every week brings new disruption signals. Which ones actually threaten your business? The Zbigniew Intelligence Brief cuts through noise with AI-powered analysis, transparent confidence levels, and falsifiable predictions. 75 forecasts logged. 71% verified hit rate. Every claim sourced. Every prediction has a deadline. Latest: [Day 30 Iran War Assessment](/day30-iran-war-assessment/).
Book Discovery Call See the Track RecordSupply chain disruptions cascade. A strait closure becomes a sulfur shortage becomes a fertilizer crisis becomes a food price spike. By the time it makes the news, you're already exposed. We map the cascades before they arrive.
Bi-weekly intelligence tailored to your exposure landscape.
New disruption signals across your industry. Sourced, verified, confidence-scored. Which ones are noise and which ones require action.
How does this week's intelligence connect to your supply chain, suppliers, markets, geography? Concrete vulnerability assessment for your business.
Active forecasts tracked against deadlines. What confirmed? What shifted? What failed? Full transparency on hits and misses.
Interactive model showing how a primary disruption flows through secondary and tertiary effects in your operations. Adjust inputs, see consequences.
Which disruptions cross your threshold into 'requires action'? Specific trigger conditions and recommended responses. No analysis paralysis.
30-minute call to discuss emerging signals, adjust monitoring focus, and review prediction accuracy. Direct access to the analyst.
We don't ask you to trust our judgment. We publish predictions with deadlines and track them publicly. Here's a sample of verified calls.
Intelligence scaled to your needs. All plans include full source documentation and prediction tracking.
One-off deep analysis of a specific geopolitical event and its impact on your supply chain. Full cascade modeling, confidence ratings, actionable recommendations. Delivered in 2-3 business days. 2,500 EUR.
Bi-weekly curated report covering your specific exposure landscape. Threat updates, prediction tracking, cascade modeling, action triggers. Monthly strategy call included. 1,500 EUR/month.
Weekly briefings, real-time signal alerts, unlimited ad-hoc assessments, quarterly strategic review. For organizations where supply chain disruption has direct P&L impact. 3,500 EUR/month.
A 15-minute call tells us your exposure landscape. We outline what a custom Zbigniew Intelligence Brief would cover for your business. Or read our published analyses first and judge the quality yourself.
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