Since March 2, both major Asia-Europe sea routes are disrupted. 9 supply chains are breaking simultaneously. Sulfur stockpiles last 3-7 days. AdBlue for trucks: 14-28 days. Naphtha for plastics: 14-21 days. Companies that map their exposure now can act. Companies that wait will react. We deliver a complete exposure audit in 1-3 business days.
Book Assessment Call See What We AssessThis is not a single-commodity disruption. The Hormuz closure cascades across every sector that depends on Gulf energy, chemicals, or raw materials. We have mapped all 9 cascades with sources, confidence levels, and timelines.
A concrete, company-specific assessment - not a generic industry report. You get a clear picture of which of your supply chain nodes are exposed, when they break, and what you can do about it.
Exposure Mapping - We analyze your supplier base, input materials, and logistics routes against the 9 disrupted supply chains. Which of your inputs transit Hormuz? Which suppliers are in force majeure? Where are the hidden dependencies (second and third tier)?
Timeline to Impact - Not all disruptions hit at the same time. Sulfur runs out in days. Fertilizer's effect shows in months. We map your specific timeline: when does each exposure become a procurement problem for your operations?
Severity Scoring - Each exposure point scored GREEN/YELLOW/ORANGE/RED using the same methodology we apply in our published intelligence assessments. Transparent criteria, documented thresholds, no black boxes.
Mitigation Options - Specific, actionable recommendations for each exposure point. Alternative suppliers, stockpile strategies, contract renegotiation triggers, regulatory actions to monitor. Prioritized by impact and feasibility.
Interactive Model Walkthrough - We show you the cascade using our published interactive models. Adjust the Hormuz closure duration and watch how it propagates through your specific supply chain nodes. You keep access after the engagement.
We don't ask you to trust us. We show our work. Every analysis we publish includes sources, confidence levels, falsification criteria, and predictions with deadlines. Judge the quality yourself before you engage.
Two options. Both deliver within days, because the crisis timeline doesn't wait.
High-level mapping of your supply chain against the 9 Hormuz cascades. Identifies your top 3-5 exposure points with severity scores and immediate action items. 1 business day turnaround. 2,500 EUR.
Comprehensive supply chain risk assessment. Tier 1-3 supplier mapping, timeline modeling, mitigation playbook, interactive model walkthrough, and 30-day monitoring brief. 2-3 business days. 5,000 EUR.
Weekly intelligence brief on your specific exposure points as the crisis evolves. Prediction tracking, signal watches, and alert triggers. 1,500 EUR/month. Requires completed audit.
Sulfur stockpiles last 3-7 days. The planting window closes mid-May. Every week of Hormuz closure compounds the cascade. A 15-minute call tells us enough to scope your exposure. No cost, no pitch - just an honest assessment of whether this affects you.
Book 15-Minute Call